NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

NIWA expects a potential La Niña to be weaker and shorter. The  latest seasonal climate outlook forecast is for  just over a 50% chance La Niña will even develop. Across much of the country, more widespread dry conditions are expected, particularly in November with...
NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

Strongest El Niño on record forecast

There are indications the current El Niño phase could be one of the strongest on record with unprecedented global temperatures in 2024 as a result. Comparisons of the most recent 17 events indicate the 2023 edition was the sixth strongest to October based on the Niño...
NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

Strong El Niño forecast for NZ

NIWA is warning an El Niño could be declared in the next few weeks with the climate system likely to be among the strongest El Niño’s declared in the past 80 years bringing a heightened risk of drought and warnings of fire danger. NIWA meteorologist Ben Noll said data...
NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

NIWA update: big rains could still surprise

NIWA’s latest climate outlook for September to November 2022 indicates La Niña is expected to continue to be an important climate driver for the country during spring. Seasonal rainfall will be determined by pressures across the region which will see occasional...
NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

EU bakes

Five countries have declared states of emergency or issued red alerts as temperatures broke records across northern Europe. The deadly heatwave spreading across Europe is breaking temperature records, fuelling wildfires and disrupting transportation, and is without...
NIWA: La Niña Less Likely, Weaker

Dry, warm summer ahead in Europe

Europe is forecast to experience warmer than normal conditions over much of the continent with intensity reducing towards the north with the influence of low-pressure zones and the polar jet stream. Summer conditions are likely to be drier across the continent, except...