EU-27 supplies fell 0.2% YOY leap-year adjusted in February, based on 25 member countries having reported milk production data to Eurostat (Sweden and Luxembourg not included). The near flat result was driven by an 8.1% YOY increase in Ireland and 6.3% YOY rise in Italy, offsetting a 2.4% YOY fall in Germany while France was down 2.6%, Netherlands and Poland output fell 1.9 and 0.3% respectively. Netherlands is the only country having reported March data on Eurostat – output was down 0.7% YOY, the fourth consecutive monthly fall.
According to the most recent data, French milk production fell 2% YOY in week 14 (ending 11 April 2021). That was the 27th consecutive weekly contraction. German supply rose 0.4% YOY in week 13, but on a relatively weak prior year comparable and negative trends in supply are expected to continue. AHDB reports UK production rose 1.4% YOY in the first 10 days of April after increasing 2.7% YOY in March.
In terms of product mix, the focus on cheese and WMP continued into February at the expense of SMP/butter according to Eurostat. Output of fluid milk and cream for direct consumption was also higher relative to the same month in 2020.