Based on complete milk production data by Eurostat and AGEA (Italy), we estimate EU27 milk production in December rose 1% YOY or 108mn kg, a 3-month low. Irish milk output rose 7.4% YOY in December (the sixth increase in a row) while Germany expanded 3.1% YOY. Dutch supplies rose 4.1% YOY in December and were up 259mn kg since June, but on weak prior year comparables and not enough to offset the 270mn kg decline in the same period of 2021. Poland raw milk supplies again increased in December – up 1.7% YOY, but that was the weakest expansion since July. Among other major producers, France reported a 1.3% YOY decrease in December deliveries while Denmark rose 0.6% YOY.

According to the most recent data, German supplies were up 2.7% YOY in week 6 (ending 12 February 2023). That was the 23rd consecutive weekly YOY increase. Meanwhile, French milk production fell 2% YOY in week 6, the 13th consecutive decline. AHDB reports UK production rose 2.2% in the first 11 days of February after being up 1.9% in January.