Typical rainfall and warmer temperatures.are forecast for May to July. The Bureau of Meteorology expects May rainfall to be below average across most of the country—except for the east coast where average rainfall is expected.

Warmer than average sea surface temperatures are forecast from May to July around Australia and close to average in the tropical Pacific Temperatures are likely to be above average during days and nights with especially warm days and nights across southern parts of Australia.

The highest soil moisture on record has been recorded across parts of Qld and northern NSW due to recent heavy rainfall as a result of tropical cyclone Alfred and an inland trough in western Qld. Meanwhile, soil moisture in areas across the south, including key dairy regions of western Tasmania, South Australia and western Vic—where rainfall has been in the lowest 5% of the historical records— is drier than average.