The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) latest Climate and Water Outlook is for wetter than average conditions for large parts of eastern Australia and cooler conditions from March to May. During summer, Australian temperatures have been the coolest since 2011/12 with Queensland the only state experiencing temperatures above average. February rains have improved soil moisture in parts of northern, western, and south-eastern Australia. Water storages have improved across the Murray Darling Basin, southern Victoria, and coastal NSW from last summer.

La Niña is past its peak, with a return to ENSO neutral condition in the Tropical Pacific. However, autumn rainfall is likely to be higher particularly in March and April, with a slow decay of La Niña. Temperatures are likely to be warmer in northern parts of Australia as well as Tasmania, but cooler in parts of NSW. The wetter landscape has reduced the bush fire risk for eastern Victoria.