The latest long-range forecast from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) is for warm and dry conditions to continue across most of the country from November to January.

Australia is likely to receive below average rainfall in November, however, from November to January the chance of below average rainfall eases across Australia, except for southern Australia and Queensland. Lower than average stream flows are likely for all locations. Temperatures are forecast to be warmer than average almost everywhere. El Niño and the Positive Indian Ocean Dipole continues with the biggest drying impact experienced during spring. El Niño is expected to continue into autumn 2024.  

Meanwhile, water storages in eastern Australia, which includes the Murray-Darling Basin and South Coast NSW are down 6% compared to the same time last year, while storages across the Queensland coast and South Australia are down 10% on the year prior.